Private landlord vote ‘pivotal’ in deciding election outcome

“We call on all political parties to do more to support good landlords to provide the homes to rent we need.”

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The votes of private landlords could be “pivotal” in deciding the outcome of the General Election in over 100 constituencies across the UK, the Residential Landlords Association (RLA) has said.

An analysis of data from HMRC found that in 124 constituencies, the number of people declaring income from property in 2017/18 was the same as or larger than the overall majorities of those candidates elected in 2017.

The figures show that of these seats, 55 were won by Conservatives, including those of the Justice Secretary, Robert Buckland in South Swindon, and the former Conservative Party Leader Iain-Duncan Smith in Chingford and Woodford Green.

39 of the seats identified were won by the Labour Party in 2017, including in Shadow Transport Secretary Andy McDonald’s seat in Middlesbrough, Shadow Scottish Secretary Lesley Laird’s seat in Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath and in Labour’s most marginal seat of Kensington.

Among the seven seats won by the Liberal Democrats in 2017, in which the landlord vote could be decisive, are the seats of Westmorland and Lonsdale, held by the party’s former leader, Tim Farron; and Kingston and Surbiton, won at the last election by the party’s Deputy Leader, Ed Davey.

Of those constituencies in which the landlord vote is the same or larger than the majorities won in 2017:

  • 14 are in London
  • 12 are in the South East
  • 11 are in the East Midlands
  • 11 are in the North West
  • 10 are in Yorkshire and The Humber
  • Nine in the South West
  • Eight are in the East of England
  • Six are in the West Midlands
  • Three are in the North East

According to the data, in Scotland, 25 seats could see landlords decide the final results – with the same said to be true for nine seats in Wales and six in Northern Ireland.

David Smith, policy director for the Residential Landlords Association (RLA), said: “Private landlords could be decisive in who ends up in Downing Street following the election.

“For those unable to afford a home of their own or unable to access social housing, the rental market is their only hope of having somewhere to live.

“With that in mind, we call on all political parties to do more to support good landlords to provide the homes to rent we need.

“That is why all parties need to do more to enforce the wide range of powers already available to root out criminal landlords rather than introduce new obligations which have no hope of being properly enforced by hard pressed councils.”

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